Josh Allen Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Interceptions

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Allen Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Bills as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Josh Allen to attempt 38.0 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 6th-most of all QBs.
Opposing offenses have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.
Josh Allen has averaged 1.03 interceptions per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 11th percentile among quarterbacks.
The Dolphins have intercepted 0.53 throws per game since the start of last season, ranking as the 4th-worst defense in the league by this standard

Favors Under

The Bills are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Bills have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 56.0 plays per game.
When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Miami's unit has been terrific since the start of last season, ranking as the best in the league.

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