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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Interceptions
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Josh Allen Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-170/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 70.0% pass rate.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Josh Allen has attempted 36.9 passes per game this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among QBs.
  • Josh Allen has averaged 0.93 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 17th percentile among QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bills are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bills to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the least plays in football this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.
  • The Buffalo Bills offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

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