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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Completions
Player Prop Week 6

Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants

Josh Allen Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 68.3% pass rate.

In racking up a massive 36.4 pass attempts per game this year, Josh Allen slots in among the top quarterbacks in the NFL (76th percentile) in this regard.

The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Josh Allen's 73.7% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a a remarkable gain in his throwing precision over last season's 64.2% mark.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, New York's CB corps has been very bad this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a massive favorite by 15.5 points.

The projections expect the Bills to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Giants, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.6 per game) this year.

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