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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Completions
Player Prop Week 19

Buffalo Bills vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Josh Allen Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 7th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 10-point advantage, the Bills are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.3% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • The predictive model expects Josh Allen to attempt 30.8 passes in this week's game, on balance: the fewest among all QBs.

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