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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Carries
Player Prop Week 21

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 132.5 total plays run: the lowest number among all games this week.

Accounting for 22.1% of his offense's rushing play calls this year (89th percentile when it comes to QBs), Josh Allen's mobility marks him as a dangerous weapon with his legs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (just 55.4 per game on average).

Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually prompt better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower run volume.

The leading projections forecast Josh Allen to accumulate 7.7 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance: the 2nd-fewest among all quarterbacks.

When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Kansas City's safety corps has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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