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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Carries
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Josh Allen has averaged 6.0 carries per game this year, one of the largest rates in the league when it comes to QBs (90th percentile).
  • Josh Allen isn't afraid to run the ball himself, making up 22.0% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bills to run on 42.3% of their chances: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The model projects the Bills to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.5 plays per game.
  • The Ravens defensive tackles profile as the best DT corps in the league this year with their run defense.

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