Josh Allen Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Carries

Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a massive favorite by 15.5 points.
The leading projections forecast Josh Allen to notch 6.6 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.
The projections expect Josh Allen to be much more involved in his offense's running game in this week's game (25.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (17.3% in games he has played).

Favors Under

At the moment, the least run-oriented offense in the league (31.6% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Bills.
The projections expect the Bills to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Buffalo offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league last year in run support.
The New York defensive tackles project as the best DT corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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