My Account Log Out

reorder

Josh Allen

Josh Allen Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.

In this week's game, Josh Allen is expected by the model to total the 5th-most rush attempts among all QBs with 7.5.

While Josh Allen has earned 16.5% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Buffalo's rushing attack in this game at 29.9%.

Jaguars defensive tackles profile as the 9th-worst group of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Bills as the 9th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 40.4% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Bills to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in football last year at blocking for rushers.

More Josh Allen Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™