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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast Josh Allen to accumulate 6.7 carries in this contest, on average: the 6th-most of all QBs.
  • The model projects Josh Allen to be a more integral piece of his team's run game in this week's contest (28.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (17.9% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 4th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 37.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Bills have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 56.0 plays per game.
  • The Bills O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Miami's collection of safeties has been phenomenal since the start of last season, projecting as the 4th-best in football.

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