Josh Allen Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

My Account Log Out

reorder

Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Carries

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 8:01 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bills are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
The leading projections forecast Josh Allen to accumulate 6.7 carries in this contest, on average: the 6th-most of all QBs.
The model projects Josh Allen to be a more integral piece of his team's run game in this week's contest (28.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (17.9% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 4th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 37.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Bills have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 56.0 plays per game.
The Bills O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Miami's collection of safeties has been phenomenal since the start of last season, projecting as the 4th-best in football.

More Josh Allen Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow