Josh Allen Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Carries

Washington Commanders vs Buffalo Bills · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bills are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to earn 7.0 carries in this week's game, on average: the 5th-most of all QBs.
The Washington Commanders linebackers profile as the 3rd-worst group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 8th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 39.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 123.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have called the 10th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.8 plays per game.
The Buffalo Bills O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season at run-game blocking.

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