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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Carries
Player Prop Week 19

Buffalo Bills vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 10-point advantage, the Bills are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to run on 47.7% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week.

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

In this game, Josh Allen is expected by the predictive model to garner the 2nd-most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 8.6.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Bills to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

As it relates to run support (and the effect it has on all run game statistics), the offensive line of the Bills ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL last year.

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