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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Carries
Player Prop Week 18

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+106/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Bills, who are favored by 3 points.

In this week's game, Josh Allen is projected by the predictive model to accrue the 4th-most rush attempts out of all QBs with 6.5.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 10th-least run-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 36.6% run rate.

To the extent of a defense's influence on pace, at 28.47 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills as the 6th-most sluggish in the league (in a neutral context) right now.

Josh Allen has been much less involved in his team's run game this season (21.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (27.2%).

In regards to executing run-blocking assignments (and the impact it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the Bills grades out as the 10th-worst in football last year.

The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the 3rd-best safety corps in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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