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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are overwhelmingly favored by 12.5 points.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to run on 44.8% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are projected by the projection model to run 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most among all teams this week.

The projections expect Josh Allen to notch 7.1 carries in this week's contest, on balance: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.

The Chargers defensive ends rank as the 2nd-worst group of DEs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

After making up 27.2% of his team's rush attempts last season, Josh Allen has been less involved in the run game this season, currently taking on only 21.0%.

The Buffalo offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football last year at opening holes for runners.

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