Josh Allen Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects Josh Allen to accumulate 5.1 rush attempts in this game, on balance: the 7th-most out of all QBs.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bills to run on 38.7% of their chances: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
In terms of a defense's influence on pace, at 29.17 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Bills to be the most sluggish in football (context-neutralized) at the present time.
After comprising 27.2% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, Josh Allen has been less involved in the ground game this year, currently taking on just 20.3%.
When talking about run-blocking (and the importance it has on all ground game statistics), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the 9th-worst in football last year.
The Philadelphia defensive tackles rank as the 6th-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

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