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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos

Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-114/-114).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bills are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

This week, Josh Allen is forecasted by our trusted projection set to accumulate the 2nd-most carries among all QBs with 6.9.

While Josh Allen has accounted for 20.8% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Buffalo's run game in this game at 27.9%.

The Denver Broncos safeties grade out as the 31st-worst collection of safeties in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 40.6% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are forecasted by the predictive model to call only 61.0 total plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.

In regards to blocking for rushers (and the impact it has on all run game metrics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills ranks as the worst in the NFL last year.

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