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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Carries
Player Prop Week 1

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to accrue 7.3 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 5th-most of all quarterbacks.
  • Josh Allen isn't afraid to call his own number, accounting for 27.2% of his offense's rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 93rd percentile among QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 4th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 37.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bills to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 54.8 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.

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