Josh Allen Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Carries

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 11, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to accrue 7.3 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 5th-most of all quarterbacks.
Josh Allen isn't afraid to call his own number, accounting for 27.2% of his offense's rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 93rd percentile among QBs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 4th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 37.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bills to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 54.8 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.

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