My Account Log Out

reorder

Josh Allen

Josh Allen Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns

Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-108).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bills are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.46 seconds per snap.

THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to notch 7.1 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 5th-most of all QBs.

THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to be a more integral piece of his team's run game this week (31.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (18.1% in games he has played).

The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles project as the worst DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buffalo Bills boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 4th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 34.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Buffalo Bills O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in run blocking.

More Josh Allen Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™