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Jordan Love

Jordan Love TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

Green Bay Packers vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -175.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Packers to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 62.9% red zone pass rate.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 136.1 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.
  • In this week's contest, Jordan Love is predicted by the projection model to total the 6th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 38.0.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Packers profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.
  • With an outstanding rate of 3.00 per game (100th percentile), Jordan Love stands as one of the top touchdown throwers in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3 points.
  • The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Jordan Love's 60.5% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a material diminishment in his passing accuracy over last year's 65.2% mark.
  • This year, the tough Houston Texans defense has surrendered a paltry 59.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the smallest rate in football.
  • The Texans cornerbacks grade out as the 10th-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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