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Jordan Love

Jordan Love TD Passes
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-156/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -240 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (61.3% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Packers.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to have 133.6 offensive plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.
  • In this game, Jordan Love is predicted by the predictive model to have the 3rd-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 37.5.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.
  • Jordan Love has been among the leading touchdown passers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 2.00 per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Packers being a 5-point favorite this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Arizona Cardinals, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in football (just 28.6 per game) this year.
  • Jordan Love's 57.0% Adjusted Completion% this year represents an impressive regression in his passing precision over last year's 65.2% figure.

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