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Jordan Love

Jordan Love TD Passes
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs Green Bay Packers

Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-210/+165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -210.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers to pass on 62.4% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects the Packers to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 59.2% red zone pass rate.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 128.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Packers have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may go down.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Rams, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 26.2 per game) this year.

Jordan Love's passing precision has worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 65.2% to 56.6%.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 5th-lowest level in the league against the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season (65.7% Adjusted Completion%).

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