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Jordan Love

Jordan Love TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints

Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 137.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and lower ground volume.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense this year: 6th-most in the league.

When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year.

With an outstanding rate of 1.92 per game (87th percentile), Jordan Love has been as one of the top TD passers in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a massive 14.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 49.9% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The Green Bay Packers have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.3 plays per game.

In this week's contest, Jordan Love is expected by the model to wind up with the fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 32.0.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 7th-lowest level in the NFL vs. the Saints defense this year (68.7% Adjusted Completion%).

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