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Jordan Love

Jordan Love TD Passes
Player Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs Green Bay Packers

Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-148/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -148.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (35.6 per game) this year.

The Green Bay O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Jordan Love has been one of the best touchdown passers in the league this year, averaging a terrific 1.91 per game while checking in at the 86th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 55.3% of their downs: the 9th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The Green Bay Packers have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 55.2 plays per game.

As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Seattle's collection of safeties has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

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