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Jordan Love

Jordan Love TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins

Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Green Bay O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Jordan Love has been one of the leading touchdown throwers in the league this year, averaging an exceptional 2.00 per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.

The model projects the Packers as the 11th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

This year, the strong Miami Dolphins defense has surrendered a measly 1.00 TDs through the air per game to opposing QBs: the 6th-smallest rate in football.

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Miami's group of CBs has been very good this year, ranking as the 10th-best in the NFL.

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