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Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-103).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Right now, the 4th-most pass-centric team in football in the red zone (61.8% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Packers.The model projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.In this week's contest, Jordan Love is projected by the projection model to have the 9th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 35.3. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Packers grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year.Jordan Love has been among the best TD passers in the league this year, averaging an outstanding 2.14 per game while ranking in the 92nd percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Packers are a 6-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.This year, the formidable Bears defense has given up a measly 69.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 10th-best rate in the NFL.This year, the fierce Chicago Bears defense has conceded a feeble 0.67 passing touchdowns per game to opposing QBs: the smallest rate in the NFL.As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Chicago's collection of safeties has been great this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.
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