Jordan Love TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jordan Love

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Love

QB · Green Bay Packers

TD Passes

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Right now, the 9th-most pass-focused team in football near the goal line (59.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Packers.
Jordan Love has been among the top TD passers in football this year, averaging an impressive 1.57 per game while ranking in the 76th percentile.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.
Our trusted projections expect the Packers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Green Bay Packers this year (a mere 53.9 per game on average).
The projections expect Jordan Love to attempt 33.0 passes in this contest, on average: the 8th-fewest out of all QBs.
With a feeble 58.6% Adjusted Completion% (3rd percentile) this year, Jordan Love stands as one of the worst precision passers in the NFL.

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