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Jordan Love

Jordan Love TD Passes
Player Prop Week 8

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-157).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Packers to be the 9th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 59.0% red zone pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • With an exceptional ratio of 1.67 per game (83rd percentile), Jordan Love stands as one of the top touchdown passers in the NFL this year.
  • This year, the anemic Vikings defense has yielded a monstrous 79.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 3rd-largest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Green Bay Packers have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 53.2 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams teams have been wary to pass too much against the Vikings, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 34.0 per game) this year.
  • Jordan Love has been one of the least on-target QBs in football this year with a 58.3% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 3rd percentile.
  • The Vikings safeties rank as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

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