Jordan Love TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 8

My Account Log Out

reorder

Jordan Love

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Love

QB · Green Bay Packers

TD Passes

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-157).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Packers to be the 9th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 59.0% red zone pass rate.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
With an exceptional ratio of 1.67 per game (83rd percentile), Jordan Love stands as one of the top touchdown passers in the NFL this year.
This year, the anemic Vikings defense has yielded a monstrous 79.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 3rd-largest rate in the league.

Favors Under

The Green Bay Packers have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 53.2 plays per game.
Opposing teams teams have been wary to pass too much against the Vikings, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 34.0 per game) this year.
Jordan Love has been one of the least on-target QBs in football this year with a 58.3% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 3rd percentile.
The Vikings safeties rank as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

More Jordan Love Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow