Jordan Love TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jordan Love

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Love

QB · Green Bay Packers

TD Passes

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+118/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -141 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Packers to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.2% red zone pass rate.
The Packers offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.
With a stellar ratio of 1.60 per game (76th percentile), Jordan Love rates among the best TD passers in football this year.
This year, the shaky Denver Broncos defense has yielded a staggering 82.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the highest rate in the league.
The Denver Broncos defense has been torched for the most passing TDs in the NFL: 2.33 per game this year.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Packers to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Packers have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.2 plays per game.
With a weak 56.8% Adjusted Completion% (3rd percentile) this year, Jordan Love has been among the worst precision passers in the NFL.

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