Jordan Love TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jordan Love

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Love

QB · Green Bay Packers

TD Passes

Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 5:06 PM EST

Analysis

Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+132/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -174 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Jordan Love to attempt 35.7 passes this week, on average: the 9th-most of all quarterbacks.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense as the 5th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.54 seconds per play.
Jordan Love has been among the least on-target QBs in the league this year with a 56.0% Completion%, checking in at the 6th percentile.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the lowest rate in the NFL versus the New Orleans Saints defense since the start of last season (63.8%).
The New Orleans Saints defense has conceded the 2nd-least touchdowns through the air in the league: 0.95 per game since the start of last season.
The New Orleans Saints linebackers profile as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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