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Jordan Love

Jordan Love TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (60.1% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Green Bay Packers.

With a remarkable rate of 1.83 per game (87th percentile), Jordan Love places among the top TD throwers in football this year.

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, New York's CB corps has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 5.5 points.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to pass on 57.2% of their plays: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call just 63.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The Green Bay Packers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 55.9 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 10th-lowest rate in the league vs. the Giants defense this year (68.3% Adjusted Completion%).

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