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Jordan Love

Jordan Love TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

Green Bay Packers vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-180).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Packers being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.
  • The predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers as the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 9th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL in the red zone (59.5% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Packers.
  • This week, Jordan Love is projected by the projection model to average the 8th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 36.4.
  • With an outstanding ratio of 1.73 per game (81st percentile), Jordan Love places among the best TD passers in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Packers are predicted by the predictive model to call only 64.0 total plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 8th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Packers this year (a lowly 55.5 per game on average).
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.
  • Jordan Love comes in as one of the least on-target quarterbacks in the NFL this year with a 61.7% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 13th percentile.
  • This year, the fierce Kansas City Chiefs defense has yielded a measly 67.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 7th-lowest rate in football.

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