Jordan Love TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Jordan Love

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Love

QB · Green Bay Packers

TD Passes

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Packers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 131.1 total plays called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast Jordan Love to attempt 36.1 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 6th-most among all QBs.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year.

Favors Under

The Green Bay Packers have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 55.1 plays per game.
With a bad 60.3% Adjusted Completion% (6th percentile) this year, Jordan Love ranks as one of the least on-target QBs in the NFL.

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