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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints

Jordan Love Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers are a massive 14.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

At the present time, the 8th-most run-focused offense in the league (41.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Packers.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 137.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Saints defense has had the worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, giving up 5.08 adjusted yards-per-carry.

The New Orleans defensive tackles rank as the worst unit in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Green Bay Packers have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.3 plays per game.

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and lower ground volume.

In this contest, Jordan Love is anticipated by our trusted projection set to accumulate the fewest rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 2.2.

Jordan Love is not much of a rushing QB and has accounted for a mere 4.3% of his team's carries this year, ranking him in the 14th percentile among QBs.

Jordan Love's 7.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year shows a significant diminishment in his running skills over last year's 14.0 mark.

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