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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins

Jordan Love Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.

With a 44.8% rate of rushing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 4th-most run-heavy team in the NFL has been the Packers.

The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects Jordan Love to notch 2.1 carries this week, on balance: the 9th-fewest out of all QBs.

After taking on 9.2% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Jordan Love has been called on less the ground game this season, now comprising only 4.0%.

Jordan Love has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (6.0) this year than he did last year (14.0).

Jordan Love's 4.45 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season signifies a noteable decline in his rushing skills over last season's 6.42 figure.

This year, the imposing Miami Dolphins run defense has conceded a paltry 107.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 9th-best in the league.

More Jordan Love Player Props

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