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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers

Jordan Love Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

With a 44.3% rate of running the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 4th-most run-centric offense in the league has been the Green Bay Packers.

Jordan Love grades out as one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging an exceptional 2.21 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 76th percentile.

The 49ers safeties profile as the 29th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Packers to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

This week, Jordan Love is expected by the model to notch the 6th-fewest rush attempts out of all QBs with 2.1.

Jordan Love is not much of a rushing QB and has accounted for a mere 4.6% of his offense's run game usage this year, putting him in the 25th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

Jordan Love's 6.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year conveys a meaningful regression in his running talent over last year's 14.0 mark.

Jordan Love's running effectiveness has worsened this season, accumulating just 4.73 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 6.42 rate last season.

More Jordan Love Player Props

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