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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Jordan Love Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers are a 6-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The model projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This year, the tough Bears run defense has conceded a feeble 5.00 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 26th-lowest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 10th-least run-centric offense in the league (38.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Green Bay Packers.

Jordan Love has averaged a mere 1.1 rush attempts per game this year, one of the smallest rates in the NFL when it comes to QBs (21st percentile).

After comprising 9.2% of his team's rush attempts last year, Jordan Love has been called on less the run game this year, currently making up only 3.5%.

Jordan Love has rushed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (4.0) this season than he did last season (14.0).

Jordan Love's rushing efficiency has diminished this year, accumulating just 3.73 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 6.42 rate last year.

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