Jordan Love Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jordan Love

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Love

QB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Jordan Love Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-145/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.
Jordan Love has been a much bigger part of his team's run game this year (13.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (0.0%).
The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL last year in run-blocking.
Jordan Love's running efficiency (7.51 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (97th percentile among quarterbacks).
With a stellar tally of 3.62 yards-after-contact (88th percentile), Jordan Love has been as one of the leading running QBs in the NFL this year.

Favors Under

The Packers rank as the 9th-least run-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 36.5% run rate.
Our trusted projections expect the Packers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Green Bay Packers this year (a mere 53.9 per game on average).
The Los Angeles defensive tackles project as the 5th-best collection of DTs in the league this year with their run defense.

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