Jordan Love Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jordan Love

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Love

QB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Jordan Love Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Love has been a more important option in his offense's run game this season (13.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (0.0%).
As it relates to blocking for ball-carriers (and the influence it has on all run game metrics), the offensive line of the Packers profiles as the 6th-best in football last year.
Jordan Love's ground effectiveness (8.05 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (96th percentile among quarterbacks).
With an excellent record of 4.35 yards-after-contact (91st percentile), Jordan Love ranks as one of the top running QBs in the NFL this year.
Opposing teams have run for the most adjusted yards in the league (177 per game) against the Broncos defense this year.

Favors Under

At the moment, the 10th-least run-oriented offense in football (37.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Packers.
The leading projections forecast the Packers to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Packers have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.2 plays per game.

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