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Jordan Love
NFL · Player Props
Jordan Love
QB · Green Bay Packers
Rushing Yards
Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions · Week 4, 2023 Updated Sep 29, 2023 12:01 AM EST
NFL Props Jordan Love Rushing Yards

Jordan Love Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -145.

Favors Over
  • After making up 0.0% of his team's rush attempts last season, Jordan Love has been more involved in the run game this season, currently comprising 14.3%.
  • The Packers O-line profiles as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in run blocking.
  • Jordan Love's running effectiveness (7.84 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (92nd percentile when it comes to QBs).
  • Jordan Love has been among the leading QBs in the league at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a terrific 5.29 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 90th percentile.
  • The Detroit Lions defense has had the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, giving up 5.02 yards-per-carry.
Favors Under
  • The predictive model expects the Packers to be the 10th-least run-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 37.3% run rate.
  • The projections expect the Packers to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Green Bay Packers have run the 7th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.0 plays per game.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • The Detroit Lions safeties rank as the 2nd-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
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