My Account Log Out

reorder

Jordan Love

Jordan Love Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

Jordan Love Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

After making up 0.0% of his team's rush attempts last season, Jordan Love has been more involved in the run game this season, currently comprising 14.3%.

The Packers O-line profiles as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in run blocking.

Jordan Love's running effectiveness (7.84 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (92nd percentile when it comes to QBs).

Jordan Love has been among the leading QBs in the league at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a terrific 5.29 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 90th percentile.

The Detroit Lions defense has had the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, giving up 5.02 yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Packers to be the 10th-least run-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 37.3% run rate.

The projections expect the Packers to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Green Bay Packers have run the 7th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.0 plays per game.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.

The Detroit Lions safeties rank as the 2nd-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

More Jordan Love Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™