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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Jordan Love Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-117/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 131.1 total plays called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • After accounting for 0.0% of his team's rush attempts last year, Jordan Love has been more involved in the ground game this year, now accounting for 11.2%.
  • The Green Bay Packers offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL last year at blocking for the run game.
  • Jordan Love's rushing efficiency (7.11 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (97th percentile among quarterbacks).
  • This year, the imposing Chargers run defense has yielded a mere 4.53 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's run game: the 24th-smallest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Packers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Green Bay Packers to run on 40.6% of their chances: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Green Bay Packers have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 55.1 plays per game.
  • In this game, Jordan Love is predicted by the projection model to accumulate the 6th-fewest carries out of all QBs with 2.6.

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