Jordan Love Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jordan Love

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Love

QB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 5:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Love Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Love has been much more involved in his offense's run game this season (11.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (0.0%).
As it relates to run support (and the ramifications it has on all run game stats), the O-line of the Packers profiles as the 6th-best in football last year.
With a fantastic record of 7.3 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (97th percentile), Jordan Love stands among the best rushing quarterbacks in football this year.
Jordan Love checks in as one of the top quarterbacks in the league at generating extra running yardage, averaging an exceptional 3.14 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 82nd percentile.
This year, the anemic Steelers run defense has been torched for a monstrous 132.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 6th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

This week's line indicates a throwing game script for the Packers, who are -3-point underdogs.
The projections expect the Packers to be the 9th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 40.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
With regard to a defense's influence on tempo, at 28.46 seconds per play, the leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the 9th-slowest in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now.
This week, Jordan Love is predicted by the projections to garner the 4th-fewest rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 2.7.

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