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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jordan Love Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 261.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 259.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 261.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers to pass on 62.4% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 128.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Packers have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may go down.
  • The model projects Jordan Love to throw 37.2 passes in this week's game, on average: the 2nd-most among all QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing offenses teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Rams, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 26.2 per game) this year.
  • Jordan Love's passing precision has worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 65.2% to 56.6%.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 5th-lowest level in the league against the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season (65.7% Adjusted Completion%).
  • Since the start of last season, the tough Los Angeles Rams defense has allowed the 4th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing offenses: a paltry 4.8 YAC.

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