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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jordan Love Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 237.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 238.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 237.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (35.6 per game) this year.
  • The Green Bay O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Jordan Love grades out as one of the leading quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging an exceptional 254.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 84th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 55.3% of their downs: the 9th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Green Bay Packers have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 55.2 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have passed for the 6th-fewest yards in the league (just 218.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the Seahawks defense this year.
  • This year, the strong Seahawks defense has conceded the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a feeble 7.3 yards.
  • As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Seattle's collection of safeties has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

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