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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

Jordan Love Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 248.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 250.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 248.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Packers, who are -3-point underdogs.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Packers to pass on 61.9% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have 130.9 total plays called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

The projections expect Jordan Love to throw 38.0 passes in this game, on balance: the 4th-most out of all QBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest rate in the league versus the Detroit Lions defense this year (63.9% Adjusted Completion%).

This year, the strong Lions defense has conceded the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing offenses: a feeble 6.8 yards.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Detroit's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, projecting as the best in the NFL.

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