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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins

Jordan Love Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 239.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 240.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 239.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Green Bay O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Jordan Love grades out as one of the leading quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging a terrific 256.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 87th percentile.

With a terrific 8.24 adjusted yards-per-target (88th percentile) this year, Jordan Love places as one of the most efficient quarterbacks in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.

The model projects the Packers as the 11th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

This year, the daunting Dolphins defense has yielded a mere 212.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 6th-best in football.

This year, the strong Miami Dolphins defense has surrendered the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to the opposing side: a feeble 7.5 yards.

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Miami's group of CBs has been very good this year, ranking as the 10th-best in the NFL.

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