Jordan Love Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jordan Love

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Love

QB · Green Bay Packers

Passing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 4:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Love Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 204.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 212.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 204.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Jordan Love to attempt 35.7 passes this week, on average: the 9th-most of all quarterbacks.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Jordan Love has been among the most effective quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging an impressive 7.21 yards-per-target while grading out in the 78th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense as the 5th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.54 seconds per play.
Jordan Love has been among the least on-target QBs in the league this year with a 56.0% Completion%, checking in at the 6th percentile.
Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the least yards in the NFL (just 187.0 per game) versus the New Orleans Saints defense since the start of last season.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the lowest rate in the NFL versus the New Orleans Saints defense since the start of last season (63.8%).
The New Orleans Saints linebackers profile as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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