Jordan Love Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jordan Love

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Love

QB · Green Bay Packers

Pass Attempts

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 4:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Love Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-108/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Packers being a huge -8.5-point underdog in this game.
The projections expect the Packers as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 64.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
In this week's game, Jordan Love is anticipated by the predictive model to average the 7th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 37.7.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Packers to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Packers this year (a lowly 56.1 per game on average).

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