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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Completions
Player Prop Week 4

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jordan Love Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-102/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (54.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Green Bay Packers.
  • The model projects the Packers to be the 7th-quickest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 27.69 seconds per play.
  • The model projects Jordan Love to attempt 35.9 passes in this game, on balance: the 8th-most among all QBs.
  • The Vikings defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (36.7 per game) since the start of last season.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Packers grades out as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a 5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) usually lead to worse passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and higher ground volume.
  • The Vikings linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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