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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Completions
Player Prop Week 16

Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Jordan Love Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+133/-184).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -184.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 137.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and lower ground volume.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year.
  • The Saints cornerbacks profile as the worst group of CBs in football this year in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a massive 14.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 49.9% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Green Bay Packers have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.3 plays per game.
  • In this week's contest, Jordan Love is expected by the model to wind up with the fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 32.0.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 7th-lowest level in the NFL vs. the Saints defense this year (68.7% Adjusted Completion%).

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