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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins

Jordan Love Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.

With a 44.8% rate of rushing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 4th-most run-heavy team in the NFL has been the Packers.

The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects Jordan Love to notch 2.1 carries this week, on balance: the 9th-fewest out of all QBs.

After taking on 9.2% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Jordan Love has been called on less the ground game this season, now comprising only 4.0%.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Miami's unit has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 6th-best in football.

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