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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Jordan Love Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers are a 6-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The model projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 10th-least run-centric offense in the league (38.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Green Bay Packers.

Jordan Love has averaged a mere 1.1 rush attempts per game this year, one of the smallest rates in the NFL when it comes to QBs (21st percentile).

After comprising 9.2% of his team's rush attempts last year, Jordan Love has been called on less the run game this year, currently making up only 3.5%.

The Bears safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

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